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20121129
20121207
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MSNBCW 2
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Search Results 0 to 1 of about 2
MSNBC
Dec 1, 2012 2:00am PST
in 2012, in a general election with barack obama, an african-american, a democrat, and a relatively popular president, would create a different electorate than the one you saw say in 2010 or in a primary situation? >> well, i think -- as you know, every poll starts with an assumption. here is who we think is going to show up and vote. therefore, that's who we ask the question of. republicans, and not just the romney campaign but republican pollsters all across the country, guessed wrong. we didn't see the intensity that there was there for the president, particularly among young voters. we oversampled male white voters. and, you know, you add all that together, and you're going to see two, three, four-point differences. plus, the assumption always is that the incumbent is not going to pick up any votes on election day. i think this time -- >> i think that's right. bob, you're a pro. let's go through the first one. perception is about the enthusiasm level. we were watching the last election. you could see well before the election of 2008 the excitement for obama. i felt it myself obv
MSNBC
Dec 2, 2012 4:00am PST
in a general election with barack obama, an african-american, a democrat, and a relatively popular president would create a different electorate than one in 2010 or pry mire situation? >> as you know, every poll starts with an assumption. here's who we think is going to show up and vote, therefore that's who we ask the question of. romney -- not just the republican campaign but republican pollsters all across the country guessed wrong. we didn't see the intensity that was there for the president, particularly among young voters wchl overs . we oversampled male white voter. you add that all together and you're going to see two, three, four-point differences. and the assumption is incumbents are not going to pick up points on election day. >> i think that's right. let's get to first one. perceptions about the enthusiasm level. we thought -- you and i were talking about the last leekz. you could see well before the election of 2008 the excitement for barack obama. i felt it mooits. rallies and all the speeches. this time around it was an effective excitement. it wasn't wow, wow, wow, we love hi
Search Results 0 to 1 of about 2